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The entire Chinese metagame revolves around shutting down AD carries with top-tier mechanics like WeiXiao, San, Devil, Uzi, and Kid. They are well-equipped to handle North America’s biggest threat: Doublelift. North America can take one game by shutting down Misaya with aggressive play by Scarra and Saintvicious, but the Chinese team can adapt and take the series. The long laning phase that would allow Doublelift to carry will also benefit WeiXiao, thereby creating a natural counter. The Chinese head into the first All-Star game with a preferential match-up, not to mention superior teamfighting skills.
Korea fields a fearsome roster, but also comes laden with a weakness to Gambit Gaming’s playstyle. The natural synergy of the EU All-Stars and the likelihood of them wholesale adopting GG’s playstyle should result in a tight first series, but ultimately a European win. The Korean team will have less time to train given the Champions Spring playoffs and inSec’s lackluster performance lately could send them to the loser’s bracket. If Korea ends up with blue side twice they might eke out a victory, as picks like Zed and Kha’Zix will be hotly contested in this series.
North American teams never respond well to the fast-push, objective based style that Koreans favor, and that likely will not change in Shanghai. InSec demonstrated a remarkable ability to read Saintvicious at MLG Dallas, effectively removing him from the game and securing a 16 minute Inhibitor. Doublelift likely will not receive an opportunity to farm up the necessary items to carry, while PraY can rely on AoE AD carries to supplement the damage from Ambition and Shy. Korea can strike fast and hard in this match-up, never giving North America a chance to recover.
The Chinese Freight Train can hit a full head of steam against split-pushing tactics, as they possess a unique skill in punishing lone pushers. Chawy is certainly a solid AD carry, WeiXiao exists at a higher level, while the same hold true for HarLeLuYar compared to ClearLove. Stanley and Toyz must play the games of their lives to out-carry Pdd and Misaya to the degree necessary to shut down WeiXiao. The SEA All-Stars can certainly surprise opponents, as demonstrated by the Season Two World Championship, but that looks far-fetched in Shanghai.
The loser’s bracket will give the Korean team a reality check, and they can adapt and roar back with a vengeance against Europe. EU’s synergy may foil Korea once, but with the strategic brilliance of MadLife and company, they can dream up an effective counter in their down time. Likely to make positional errors in the first series, Korea can tighten up their teamwork to emerge victorious in round two. Europe may find themselves facing more aggressive counter-ganking from inSec on their second meeting.
In spite of the fact that the Chinese fans failed to select players at the peak of their performance, China holds a critical advantage: a home crowd. The jolt of energy provided by thousands of screaming fans, not to mention the pressure of winning in China, should push the home team to peak performance. If this tournament were held in any other country on the planet I would predict a slight Korean edge, but that won’t happen this year. With similar team-fighting capabilities, these two teams find themselves evenly matched with a slight vision advantage to Korea due to MadLife. However, the finals should be China’s to lose.
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